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October 25 A Derivative HomeworkQ: The price of gold is currently $600 per ounce. The forward price for delivery in 1 year is $800. An arbitrageur can borrow money at 10% per annum. What should the arbitrageur do? Assume that the cost of storing gold is zero that that gold provides no income. A: Theoretically, the forward price should be (1 + 10%) * 600 = $660. Since $660 < $800, an arbitrageur should borrow money to buy gold, and short gold forward. Suppose the arbitrageur borrows money to buy one ounce, then the cash flows at present and future are as below: Cash flow at present: Cash flow one year later: Therefore, the profit one year later is 800-660 = $140 per ounce. Hehe, it's always easy to just calculate. By the time calculation is done, the arbitrage chance has gone away long before...... October 14 我将在33岁的时候无疾而终?前天晚上做梦,梦到我在地铁站台上突然失去意识倒下了。起来的时候已经轻飘飘,旁边有人(天使?黑白无常?记不得了...)告诉我我死了,无疾而终,并且让我在天上翻个后滚翻,于是我在高空中翻了个后滚翻,知道自己真的死了。天使让我去排队,排在和空中另外一队死人后面,一起去某个地方。我问天使我几岁?天使说,33岁。
居然忘了问是周岁还是虚岁......就跳到下一个梦境......大块朵颐吃蟹腿...... |
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